Spatial Dynamics of Land Cover Change in Ternate Tengah District, Ternate City, Indonesia

The phenomenon of urban growth has become an important issue that affects the land use system and cover in a region for several reasons, such as population economy. This also one main environmental issues lately because it devastated ecosystems. Ternate Tengah District highest rate City experienced extensive development due to pace urbanization, economic growth, population. Urbanization accelerates demand living. As result, there will be gaps or disparities between needs available land, decline carrying capacity, potential harm future. Spatial modeling future covers is needed provide data on policy-making. GIS remote sensing methods have been widely introduced, but most effective CA-Markov. model used various areas worldwide, its application predicting change populous city small island under threat volcanic hazards like limited. study aims evaluate forecast land-use changes brought by urbanization City's Central District. We cellular automata-Markov chain examine 2002, 2012, 2022, 2032. findings indicate residential area increase along with expansion demand. results this can support policy-making related arrangement utilization space